daily prop · Chicago, IL · Great Lakes & Upper Midwest · settles Fri Oct 16

Chicago runs hot-for-here: 76°F+ · Fri Oct 16

settled · observed 57

on the tape

76°F is the top-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present). Hot means hot *for here*.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 76°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

icon		39¢
eps		15¢
nbm		6¢
hres		5¢
aifs		1¢
wn2		0¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KORD-20261016-TMAX-GE76 · opened 2026-10-09T19:58:54+00:00 · settled 2026-10-17T13:52:32+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape