daily prop · Philadelphia, PA · Northeast & Mid-Atlantic · settles Thu Oct 1

Philadelphia high ≥ 80°F · Thu Oct 1

YES

settled · observed 83

longshot hit whiplash on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 80°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Verdict

This prop traded as low as 0¢ and still hit; crossed 70¢ in both directions — a genuine whiplash.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

aifs		92¢
nbm		88¢
wn2		79¢
rrfs		73¢
hres		71¢
ndfd		59¢
eps		51¢
icon		40¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KPHL-20261001-TMAX-GE80 · opened 2026-09-24T07:27:33+00:00 · settled 2026-10-02T13:58:27+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape