daily prop · Philadelphia, PA · Northeast & Mid-Atlantic · settles Thu Oct 1

Philadelphia runs hot-for-here: 82°F+ · Thu Oct 1

YES

settled · observed 83

longshot hit whiplash on the tape

82°F is the top-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present). Hot means hot *for here*.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 82°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Verdict

This prop traded as low as 0¢ and still hit; crossed 70¢ in both directions — a genuine whiplash.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

aifs		81¢
nbm		61¢
wn2		59¢
hres		51¢
rrfs		47¢
eps		28¢
ndfd		25¢
icon		20¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KPHL-20261001-TMAX-GE82 · opened 2026-09-24T07:27:34+00:00 · settled 2026-10-02T13:58:27+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape