daily prop · Philadelphia, PA · Northeast & Mid-Atlantic · settles Sat Oct 17

Philadelphia stays cold-for-here: high ≤ 56°F · Sat Oct 17

settled · observed 63

whiplash on the tape

56°F is the bottom-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present).

Canonical settlement condition: High ≤ 56°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Verdict

This prop traded as high as 85¢ and busted; crossed 70¢ in both directions — a genuine whiplash.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

nbm		73¢
ndfd		65¢
wn2		6¢
aifs		3¢
eps		2¢
hres		2¢
icon		0¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KPHL-20261017-TMAX-LE56 · opened 2026-10-13T08:02:31+00:00 · settled 2026-10-18T14:08:38+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape