daily prop · Philadelphia, PA · Northeast & Mid-Atlantic · settles Mon Oct 19

Philadelphia high ≥ 66°F · Mon Oct 19

62¢

american -165 · decimal 1.61

on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 66°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

wn2		84¢
aifs		79¢
nbm		67¢
ndfd		59¢
hres		47¢
eps		42¢
rrfs		36¢
icon		18¢
hrrr		15¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

62–63°F6¢

64–65°F40¢

66–67°F44¢

68–69°F8¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KPHL-20261019-TMAX-GE66 · opened 2026-10-12T11:35:18+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape