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daily prop · Philadelphia, PA · Northeast & Mid-Atlantic · settles Tue Oct 20

Philadelphia high ≥ 71°F · Tue Oct 20

57¢
american -135 · decimal 1.74
on the tape
The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.
Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 71°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢10/0510/1310/20 10:07
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price
aifs
90¢
wn2
76¢
nbm
67¢
ndfd
59¢
rrfs
33¢
eps
23¢
icon
23¢
hres
21¢
hrrr
8¢
now
4¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits
66–67°F3¢
68–69°F28¢
70–71°F52¢
72–73°F17¢
74–75°F1¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KPHL-20261020-TMAX-GE71 · opened 2026-10-20T04:51:05+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape