daily prop · Phoenix, AZ · West Coast & Southwest · settles Mon Oct 19

Phoenix high ≥ 89°F · Mon Oct 19

41¢

american +147 · decimal 2.47

on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 89°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

rrfs		79¢
aifs		69¢
ndfd		59¢
nbm		56¢
hres		52¢
wn2		38¢
eps		32¢
hrrr		27¢
icon		5¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

84–85°F3¢

86–87°F21¢

88–89°F44¢

90–91°F27¢

92–93°F5¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KPHX-20261019-TMAX-GE89 · opened 2026-10-13T04:16:38+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape