daily prop · Phoenix, AZ · West Coast & Southwest · settles Tue Oct 20

Phoenix runs hot-for-here: 96°F+ · Tue Oct 20

8¢

american +1118 · decimal 12.18

on the tape

96°F is the top-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present). Hot means hot *for here*.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 96°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

rrfs		35¢
aifs		34¢
wn2		20¢
hrrr		17¢
hres		17¢
nbm		13¢
ndfd		13¢
eps		7¢
now		6¢
icon		1¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

88–89°F4¢

90–91°F27¢

92–93°F46¢

94–95°F20¢

96–97°F2¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KPHX-20261020-TMAX-GE96 · opened 2026-10-13T08:04:30+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape