— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
icon
27¢
ndfd
18¢
eps
10¢
hres
8¢
wn2
6¢
aifs
5¢
nbm
2¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
72–73°F2¢
74–75°F7¢
76–77°F17¢
78–79°F26¢
80–81°F25¢
82–83°F15¢
84–85°F6¢
86–87°F1¢
calibration receipt: lead 3, scored on 14,413 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.902 vs climatology 8.854.
Receipts
prop id WP-KPHX-20261023-TMAX-LE74 · opened 2026-10-19T07:34:03+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape