— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
wn2
46¢
aifs
21¢
hres
17¢
rrfs
13¢
eps
8¢
nbm
5¢
icon
1¢
ndfd
0¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
72–73°F1¢
74–75°F5¢
76–77°F14¢
78–79°F26¢
80–81°F28¢
82–83°F18¢
84–85°F7¢
86–87°F2¢
calibration receipt: lead 2, scored on 12,317 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.753 vs climatology 9.34.
Receipts
prop id WP-KPIT-20260910-TMAX-GE86 · opened 2026-09-07T14:25:56+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape