— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
hres
28¢
aifs
18¢
wn2
13¢
icon
11¢
nbm
3¢
ndfd
2¢
eps
0¢
rrfs
0¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
78–79°F3¢
80–81°F13¢
82–83°F27¢
84–85°F30¢
86–87°F19¢
88–89°F6¢
90–91°F1¢
calibration receipt: lead 2, scored on 12,590 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.747 vs climatology 9.303.
Receipts
prop id WP-KPIT-20260916-TMAX-GE90 · opened 2026-09-09T07:37:14+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape