daily prop · Pittsburgh, PA · Northeast & Mid-Atlantic · settles Fri Sep 18

Pittsburgh high ≥ 77°F · Fri Sep 18

77¢

american -335 · decimal 1.3

on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 77°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

wn2		96¢
aifs		84¢
eps		81¢
hres		76¢
ndfd		59¢
nbm		59¢
rrfs		57¢
icon		37¢
hrrr		18¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

72–73°F1¢

74–75°F8¢

76–77°F34¢

78–79°F41¢

80–81°F14¢

82–83°F1¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KPIT-20260918-TMAX-GE77 · opened 2026-09-12T03:17:41+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape