— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
ndfd
56¢
wn2
56¢
aifs
46¢
hres
40¢
nbm
36¢
eps
19¢
rrfs
15¢
icon
4¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
70–71°F2¢
72–73°F8¢
74–75°F20¢
76–77°F28¢
78–79°F24¢
80–81°F13¢
82–83°F4¢
84–85°F1¢
calibration receipt: lead 1, scored on 12,847 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.557 vs climatology 9.256.
Receipts
prop id WP-KPIT-20260919-TMAX-GE80 · opened 2026-09-15T16:19:06+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape