daily prop · Pittsburgh, PA · Northeast & Mid-Atlantic · settles Tue Sep 22

Pittsburgh high ≥ 62°F · Tue Sep 22

77¢

american -335 · decimal 1.3

on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 62°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

wn2		100¢
eps		93¢
rrfs		79¢
hres		71¢
aifs		70¢
ndfd		59¢
nbm		59¢
hrrr		17¢
icon		8¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

56–57°F1¢

58–59°F11¢

60–61°F38¢

62–63°F38¢

64–65°F11¢

66–67°F1¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KPIT-20260922-TMAX-GE62 · opened 2026-09-19T15:12:57+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape