— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
ndfd
54¢
wn2
46¢
icon
37¢
nbm
37¢
eps
33¢
hres
11¢
aifs
2¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
58–59°F1¢
60–61°F2¢
62–63°F6¢
64–65°F12¢
66–67°F18¢
68–69°F20¢
70–71°F18¢
72–73°F12¢
74–75°F7¢
76–77°F3¢
78–79°F1¢
calibration receipt: lead 4, scored on 12,700 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 2.205 vs climatology 9.255.
Receipts
prop id WP-KPIT-20260922-TMAX-GE75 · opened 2026-09-16T03:36:09+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape