daily prop · Pittsburgh, PA · Northeast & Mid-Atlantic · settles Tue Sep 22

Pittsburgh runs hot-for-here: 83°F+ · Tue Sep 22

2¢

american +6523 · decimal 66.23

on the tape

83°F is the top-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present). Hot means hot *for here*.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 83°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

nbm		11¢
eps		9¢
ndfd		7¢
icon		5¢
hres		4¢
wn2		3¢
aifs		0¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

58–59°F1¢

60–61°F2¢

62–63°F4¢

64–65°F8¢

66–67°F12¢

68–69°F16¢

70–71°F18¢

72–73°F16¢

74–75°F12¢

76–77°F7¢

78–79°F3¢

80–81°F1¢

calibration receipt: lead 5, scored on 12,649 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 2.513 vs climatology 9.258.

Receipts

prop id WP-KPIT-20260922-TMAX-GE83 · opened 2026-09-15T08:01:13+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape