daily prop · Pittsburgh, PA · Northeast & Mid-Atlantic · settles Fri Sep 25

Pittsburgh high ≥ 66°F · Fri Sep 25

82¢

american -462 · decimal 1.22

on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 66°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

aifs		96¢
eps		93¢
hres		78¢
wn2		70¢
icon		70¢
nbm		57¢
ndfd		55¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

62–63°F3¢

64–65°F11¢

66–67°F25¢

68–69°F31¢

70–71°F21¢

72–73°F8¢

74–75°F2¢

calibration receipt: lead 1, scored on 13,210 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.559 vs climatology 9.164.

Receipts

prop id WP-KPIT-20260925-TMAX-GE66 · opened 2026-09-20T15:18:42+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape