daily prop · Pittsburgh, PA · Northeast & Mid-Atlantic · settles Sun Sep 27

Pittsburgh high ≥ 68°F · Sun Sep 27

76¢

american -315 · decimal 1.32

on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 68°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

aifs		98¢
hrrr		95¢
wn2		92¢
rrfs		78¢
hres		75¢
nbm		57¢
ndfd		56¢
icon		51¢
eps		47¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

62–63°F2¢

64–65°F8¢

66–67°F18¢

68–69°F26¢

70–71°F24¢

72–73°F14¢

74–75°F5¢

76–77°F1¢

calibration receipt: lead 3, scored on 13,112 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.951 vs climatology 9.163.

Receipts

prop id WP-KPIT-20260927-TMAX-GE68 · opened 2026-09-22T02:42:21+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape