— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
aifs
65¢
nbm
54¢
wn2
46¢
eps
42¢
icon
40¢
hres
39¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
62–63°F2¢
64–65°F8¢
66–67°F18¢
68–69°F26¢
70–71°F24¢
72–73°F14¢
74–75°F5¢
76–77°F1¢
calibration receipt: lead 3, scored on 13,112 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.951 vs climatology 9.163.
Receipts
prop id WP-KPIT-20260927-TMAX-GE72 · opened 2026-09-20T07:45:33+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape