— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
icon
59¢
nbm
57¢
hres
48¢
wn2
39¢
aifs
26¢
eps
13¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
60–61°F2¢
62–63°F5¢
64–65°F11¢
66–67°F18¢
68–69°F22¢
70–71°F19¢
72–73°F13¢
74–75°F6¢
76–77°F2¢
78–79°F1¢
calibration receipt: lead 4, scored on 13,061 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 2.205 vs climatology 9.163.
Receipts
prop id WP-KPIT-20260928-TMAX-GE74 · opened 2026-09-21T10:51:58+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape