— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
aifs
90¢
hres
78¢
nbm
74¢
wn2
59¢
ndfd
56¢
rrfs
54¢
icon
52¢
eps
36¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
68–69°F1¢
70–71°F4¢
72–73°F13¢
74–75°F26¢
76–77°F29¢
78–79°F19¢
80–81°F7¢
82–83°F2¢
calibration receipt: lead 1, scored on 13,419 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.558 vs climatology 9.098.
Receipts
prop id WP-KPIT-20260930-TMAX-GE75 · opened 2026-09-24T15:01:48+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape