daily prop · Pittsburgh, PA · Northeast & Mid-Atlantic · settles Thu Oct 1

Pittsburgh runs hot-for-here: 80°F+ · Thu Oct 1

83¢

american -477 · decimal 1.21

on the tape

80°F is the top-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present). Hot means hot *for here*.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 80°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

aifs		95¢
nbm		92¢
wn2		86¢
rrfs		77¢
hres		76¢
icon		62¢
ndfd		59¢
eps		36¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

76–77°F0¢

78–79°F12¢

80–81°F49¢

82–83°F34¢

84–85°F4¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KPIT-20261001-TMAX-GE80 · opened 2026-09-24T07:27:36+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape