Pittsburgh, PAHigh ≥ 80°F
Who takes which side?
Probabilities derived from each source’s mean and spread. Forecasts may have different initialization times.
Head-to-head preview
ILLUSTRATIVE · NOT EXECUTED100 contracts at the midpoint of these model probabilities. Each contract pays 1u to the winning side.
AIFS +34.85u · EPS −34.85u
These are current forecast comparisons, not locked entries. No credits have been committed. Read the proposed policy →
Probability history
Recorded source probabilities; timestamps mark snapshots. Repeated values may come from the same model run.
View the forecast data
| UTC | AIFS | EPS | WN2 | HRES | ICON |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-24T07:27:36+00:00 | 52.9% | 10.1% | 53.8% | 50.6% | 34.2% |
| 2026-09-24T08:13:22+00:00 | 52.9% | 10.1% | 53.8% | 50.6% | 34.2% |
| 2026-09-24T08:58:36+00:00 | 52.9% | 10.1% | 53.8% | 50.6% | 34.2% |
| 2026-09-24T09:43:40+00:00 | 52.9% | 10.1% | 53.8% | 50.6% | 34.2% |
| 2026-09-24T10:28:45+00:00 | 52.9% | 10.1% | 53.8% | 50.6% | 34.2% |
| 2026-09-24T11:13:50+00:00 | 52.9% | 20.2% | 58.2% | 50.6% | 34.2% |
| 2026-09-24T11:58:57+00:00 | 52.9% | 20.2% | 58.2% | 50.6% | 34.2% |
| 2026-09-24T12:44:01+00:00 | 52.9% | 20.2% | 58.2% | 50.6% | 34.2% |
| 2026-09-24T13:29:15+00:00 | 62.7% | 20.2% | 58.2% | 50.6% | 34.2% |
| 2026-09-24T14:16:40+00:00 | 62.0% | 20.5% | 58.2% | 50.6% | 34.2% |
| 2026-09-24T15:01:48+00:00 | 62.0% | 17.6% | 58.2% | 50.6% | 34.2% |
| 2026-09-24T15:47:14+00:00 | 62.0% | 17.4% | 58.2% | 50.6% | 34.2% |
| 2026-09-24T16:32:26+00:00 | 62.0% | 17.4% | 58.2% | 50.6% | 34.2% |
| 2026-09-24T17:17:32+00:00 | 62.0% | 17.4% | 51.6% | 50.6% | 34.2% |
| 2026-09-24T18:02:38+00:00 | 62.0% | 17.4% | 51.6% | 50.6% | 34.2% |
| 2026-09-24T18:47:42+00:00 | 62.0% | 17.4% | 51.6% | 50.6% | 34.2% |
| 2026-09-24T19:32:51+00:00 | 69.2% | 17.4% | 51.6% | 50.6% | 50.4% |
| 2026-09-24T20:17:59+00:00 | 69.2% | 17.4% | 51.6% | 50.6% | 50.4% |
| 2026-09-24T21:03:05+00:00 | 69.2% | 17.4% | 51.6% | 50.6% | 50.4% |
| 2026-09-24T21:48:10+00:00 | 69.2% | 17.4% | 51.6% | 50.6% | 50.4% |
| 2026-09-24T22:33:16+00:00 | 69.2% | 17.4% | 51.6% | 46.2% | 50.4% |
| 2026-09-24T23:18:23+00:00 | 69.2% | 17.4% | 58.2% | 46.2% | 50.4% |
| 2026-09-25T00:03:29+00:00 | 69.2% | 17.4% | 58.2% | 46.2% | 50.4% |
| 2026-09-25T00:48:38+00:00 | 69.2% | 17.4% | 58.2% | 46.2% | 50.4% |
| 2026-09-25T01:33:49+00:00 | 81.0% | 17.4% | 58.2% | 46.2% | 50.4% |
| 2026-09-25T02:18:57+00:00 | 81.0% | 17.4% | 58.2% | 46.2% | 50.4% |
| 2026-09-25T03:04:09+00:00 | 81.0% | 17.4% | 58.2% | 46.2% | 50.4% |
| 2026-09-25T03:49:44+00:00 | 81.0% | 17.4% | 58.2% | 46.2% | 50.4% |
| 2026-09-25T04:34:48+00:00 | 81.0% | 17.4% | 58.2% | 46.2% | 37.5% |
| 2026-09-25T05:19:56+00:00 | 81.0% | 17.4% | 54.9% | 46.2% | 37.5% |
| 2026-09-25T06:05:03+00:00 | 81.0% | 17.4% | 54.9% | 46.2% | 37.5% |
| 2026-09-25T06:50:09+00:00 | 81.0% | 17.4% | 54.9% | 46.2% | 37.5% |
| 2026-09-25T07:35:16+00:00 | 85.3% | 17.4% | 54.9% | 46.2% | 37.5% |
| 2026-09-25T08:20:23+00:00 | 85.3% | 17.4% | 54.9% | 46.2% | 37.5% |
| 2026-09-25T09:05:28+00:00 | 85.3% | 17.4% | 54.9% | 46.2% | 37.5% |
| 2026-09-25T09:50:33+00:00 | 85.3% | 17.4% | 54.9% | 46.2% | 37.5% |
| 2026-09-25T10:35:38+00:00 | 85.3% | 17.4% | 54.9% | 46.2% | 37.5% |
| 2026-09-25T11:20:45+00:00 | 85.3% | 11.7% | 54.9% | 46.2% | 37.5% |
| 2026-09-25T12:05:51+00:00 | 85.3% | 11.7% | 54.9% | 46.2% | 37.5% |
| 2026-09-25T12:50:56+00:00 | 85.3% | 11.7% | 54.9% | 46.2% | 37.5% |
| 2026-09-25T13:36:02+00:00 | 88.5% | 11.7% | 54.9% | 46.2% | 37.5% |
| 2026-09-25T14:23:04+00:00 | 88.5% | 12.1% | 54.9% | 46.3% | 37.5% |
| 2026-09-25T15:08:10+00:00 | 88.5% | 12.7% | 54.9% | 46.3% | 37.5% |
| 2026-09-25T15:53:16+00:00 | 88.5% | 12.7% | 54.9% | 46.3% | 37.5% |
| 2026-09-25T16:38:21+00:00 | 88.5% | 12.7% | 54.9% | 46.3% | 66.8% |
| 2026-09-25T17:23:29+00:00 | 88.5% | 12.7% | 74.6% | 46.3% | 66.8% |
| 2026-09-25T18:08:40+00:00 | 88.5% | 12.7% | 74.6% | 46.3% | 66.8% |
| 2026-09-25T18:54:06+00:00 | 88.5% | 12.7% | 74.6% | 46.3% | 66.8% |
| 2026-09-25T19:39:20+00:00 | 62.5% | 12.7% | 74.6% | 30.5% | 66.8% |
| 2026-09-25T20:25:16+00:00 | 62.5% | 12.7% | 74.6% | 30.5% | 66.8% |
| 2026-09-25T21:10:21+00:00 | 62.5% | 12.7% | 74.6% | 30.5% | 66.8% |
| 2026-09-25T21:55:27+00:00 | 62.5% | 12.7% | 74.6% | 30.5% | 66.8% |
| 2026-09-25T22:40:31+00:00 | 62.5% | 12.7% | 74.6% | 30.5% | 66.8% |
| 2026-09-25T23:25:36+00:00 | 62.5% | 12.7% | 69.4% | 30.5% | 66.8% |
| 2026-09-26T00:10:43+00:00 | 62.5% | 12.7% | 69.4% | 30.5% | 66.8% |
| 2026-09-26T00:55:51+00:00 | 62.5% | 12.7% | 69.4% | 30.5% | 66.8% |
| 2026-09-26T01:41:02+00:00 | 28.0% | 12.7% | 69.4% | 30.5% | 66.8% |
| 2026-09-26T02:26:15+00:00 | 28.0% | 12.7% | 69.4% | 30.5% | 66.8% |
| 2026-09-26T03:11:41+00:00 | 28.0% | 12.7% | 69.4% | 30.5% | 66.8% |
| 2026-09-26T03:56:55+00:00 | 28.0% | 12.7% | 69.4% | 30.5% | 66.8% |
| 2026-09-26T04:42:02+00:00 | 28.0% | 12.7% | 69.4% | 30.5% | 67.2% |
| 2026-09-26T05:27:16+00:00 | 28.0% | 12.7% | 68.6% | 30.5% | 67.2% |
| 2026-09-26T06:12:23+00:00 | 28.0% | 12.7% | 68.6% | 30.5% | 67.2% |
| 2026-09-26T06:57:30+00:00 | 28.0% | 12.7% | 68.6% | 30.5% | 67.2% |
| 2026-09-26T07:42:44+00:00 | 89.9% | 12.7% | 68.6% | 11.5% | 67.2% |
| 2026-09-26T08:28:39+00:00 | 89.9% | 12.7% | 68.6% | 11.5% | 67.2% |
| 2026-09-26T09:13:44+00:00 | 89.9% | 12.7% | 68.6% | 11.5% | 67.2% |
| 2026-09-26T09:58:51+00:00 | 89.9% | 12.7% | 68.6% | 11.5% | 67.2% |
| 2026-09-26T10:44:02+00:00 | 89.9% | 12.7% | 68.6% | 11.5% | 67.2% |
| 2026-09-26T11:29:13+00:00 | 89.9% | 17.7% | 73.2% | 11.5% | 67.2% |
| 2026-09-26T12:14:29+00:00 | 89.9% | 17.7% | 73.2% | 11.5% | 67.2% |
| 2026-09-26T12:59:34+00:00 | 89.9% | 17.7% | 73.2% | 11.5% | 67.2% |
| 2026-09-26T13:44:41+00:00 | 90.2% | 17.7% | 73.2% | 11.5% | 67.2% |
| 2026-09-26T14:32:02+00:00 | 90.2% | 17.7% | 73.2% | 11.5% | 67.2% |
| 2026-09-26T15:17:28+00:00 | 90.2% | 18.9% | 73.2% | 11.5% | 67.2% |
| 2026-09-26T16:02:34+00:00 | 90.2% | 18.9% | 73.2% | 11.5% | 67.2% |
| 2026-09-26T16:47:40+00:00 | 90.2% | 18.9% | 73.2% | 11.5% | 14.8% |
| 2026-09-26T17:32:49+00:00 | 90.2% | 18.9% | 73.2% | 11.5% | 14.8% |
| 2026-09-26T18:17:56+00:00 | 90.2% | 18.9% | 73.2% | 11.5% | 14.8% |
| 2026-09-26T19:03:07+00:00 | 90.2% | 18.9% | 73.2% | 11.5% | 14.8% |
| 2026-09-26T19:48:16+00:00 | 91.9% | 18.9% | 73.2% | 6.1% | 14.8% |
| 2026-09-26T20:33:25+00:00 | 91.9% | 18.9% | 73.2% | 6.1% | 14.8% |
| 2026-09-26T21:18:31+00:00 | 91.9% | 18.9% | 73.2% | 6.1% | 14.8% |
| 2026-09-26T22:03:36+00:00 | 91.9% | 18.9% | 73.2% | 6.1% | 14.8% |
| 2026-09-26T22:48:42+00:00 | 91.9% | 18.9% | 73.2% | 6.1% | 14.8% |
| 2026-09-26T23:33:53+00:00 | 91.9% | 18.9% | 72.4% | 6.1% | 14.8% |
| 2026-09-27T00:19:01+00:00 | 91.9% | 18.9% | 72.4% | 6.1% | 14.8% |
| 2026-09-27T01:04:10+00:00 | 91.9% | 18.9% | 72.4% | 6.1% | 14.8% |
| 2026-09-27T01:49:24+00:00 | 90.9% | 18.9% | 72.4% | 6.1% | 14.8% |
| 2026-09-27T02:34:30+00:00 | 90.9% | 18.9% | 72.4% | 6.1% | 14.8% |
| 2026-09-27T03:19:39+00:00 | 90.9% | 18.9% | 72.4% | 6.1% | 14.8% |
| 2026-09-27T04:05:12+00:00 | 90.9% | 18.9% | 72.4% | 6.1% | 14.8% |
| 2026-09-27T04:50:17+00:00 | 90.9% | 18.9% | 72.4% | 6.1% | 67.1% |
| 2026-09-27T05:35:26+00:00 | 90.9% | 18.9% | 81.7% | 6.1% | 67.1% |
| 2026-09-27T06:20:37+00:00 | 90.9% | 18.9% | 81.7% | 6.1% | 67.1% |
| 2026-09-27T07:05:43+00:00 | 90.9% | 18.9% | 81.7% | 6.1% | 67.1% |
| 2026-09-27T07:50:56+00:00 | 93.4% | 18.9% | 81.7% | 71.1% | 67.1% |
| 2026-09-27T08:36:49+00:00 | 93.4% | 18.9% | 81.7% | 71.1% | 67.1% |
| 2026-09-27T09:21:58+00:00 | 93.4% | 18.9% | 81.7% | 71.1% | 67.1% |
| 2026-09-27T10:07:03+00:00 | 93.4% | 18.9% | 81.7% | 71.1% | 67.1% |
| 2026-09-27T10:52:08+00:00 | 93.4% | 18.9% | 81.7% | 71.1% | 67.1% |
| 2026-09-27T11:37:14+00:00 | 93.4% | 26.8% | 78.4% | 71.1% | 67.1% |
| 2026-09-27T12:22:25+00:00 | 93.4% | 26.8% | 78.4% | 71.1% | 67.1% |
| 2026-09-27T13:07:31+00:00 | 93.4% | 26.8% | 78.4% | 71.1% | 67.1% |
| 2026-09-27T13:52:38+00:00 | 92.6% | 26.8% | 78.4% | 71.1% | 67.9% |
| 2026-09-27T14:40:00+00:00 | 92.6% | 26.8% | 78.4% | 71.1% | 67.9% |
| 2026-09-27T15:25:27+00:00 | 92.6% | 27.1% | 78.4% | 71.1% | 67.9% |
| 2026-09-27T16:10:32+00:00 | 92.6% | 27.1% | 78.4% | 71.1% | 67.9% |
| 2026-09-27T16:55:37+00:00 | 92.6% | 27.1% | 75.3% | 71.1% | 70.1% |
| 2026-09-27T17:40:46+00:00 | 92.6% | 27.1% | 75.3% | 71.1% | 70.1% |
| 2026-09-27T18:25:54+00:00 | 92.6% | 27.1% | 75.3% | 71.1% | 70.1% |
| 2026-09-27T19:11:07+00:00 | 92.6% | 27.1% | 75.3% | 71.1% | 70.1% |
| 2026-09-27T19:56:16+00:00 | 93.4% | 27.1% | 75.3% | 72.5% | 70.1% |
| 2026-09-27T20:41:24+00:00 | 93.4% | 27.1% | 75.3% | 72.5% | 70.1% |
| 2026-09-27T21:26:31+00:00 | 93.4% | 27.1% | 75.3% | 72.5% | 70.1% |
| 2026-09-27T22:11:35+00:00 | 93.4% | 27.1% | 75.3% | 72.5% | 70.1% |
| 2026-09-27T22:56:41+00:00 | 93.4% | 27.1% | 74.5% | 72.5% | 70.1% |
| 2026-09-27T23:41:49+00:00 | 93.4% | 27.1% | 74.5% | 72.5% | 70.1% |
| 2026-09-28T00:26:54+00:00 | 93.4% | 27.1% | 74.5% | 72.5% | 70.1% |
| 2026-09-28T01:12:03+00:00 | 93.4% | 27.1% | 74.5% | 72.5% | 70.1% |
| 2026-09-28T01:57:10+00:00 | 94.0% | 27.1% | 74.5% | 72.5% | 70.1% |
| 2026-09-28T02:42:16+00:00 | 94.0% | 27.1% | 74.5% | 72.5% | 70.1% |
| 2026-09-28T03:27:24+00:00 | 94.0% | 27.1% | 74.5% | 72.5% | 70.1% |
| 2026-09-28T04:13:27+00:00 | 94.0% | 27.1% | 74.5% | 72.5% | 70.1% |
| 2026-09-28T04:58:33+00:00 | 94.0% | 27.1% | 76.9% | 72.5% | 70.5% |
| 2026-09-28T05:43:41+00:00 | 94.0% | 27.1% | 76.9% | 72.5% | 70.5% |
| 2026-09-28T06:28:53+00:00 | 94.0% | 27.1% | 76.9% | 72.5% | 70.5% |
| 2026-09-28T07:13:59+00:00 | 94.0% | 27.1% | 76.9% | 72.5% | 70.5% |
| 2026-09-28T07:59:14+00:00 | 93.7% | 27.1% | 76.9% | 80.1% | 70.5% |
| 2026-09-28T08:45:26+00:00 | 93.7% | 27.1% | 76.9% | 80.1% | 70.5% |
| 2026-09-28T09:30:32+00:00 | 93.7% | 27.1% | 76.9% | 80.1% | 70.5% |
| 2026-09-28T10:15:37+00:00 | 93.7% | 27.1% | 76.9% | 80.1% | 70.5% |
| 2026-09-28T11:00:45+00:00 | 93.7% | 28.9% | 76.8% | 80.1% | 70.5% |
| 2026-09-28T11:46:03+00:00 | 93.7% | 28.9% | 76.8% | 80.1% | 70.5% |
| 2026-09-28T12:31:11+00:00 | 93.7% | 28.9% | 76.8% | 80.1% | 70.5% |
| 2026-09-28T13:16:20+00:00 | 93.7% | 28.9% | 76.8% | 80.1% | 70.5% |
| 2026-09-28T14:01:26+00:00 | 93.5% | 28.9% | 76.7% | 80.1% | 70.5% |
| 2026-09-28T14:48:29+00:00 | 93.5% | 28.9% | 76.7% | 80.1% | 70.5% |
| 2026-09-28T15:34:00+00:00 | 93.5% | 29.4% | 76.7% | 80.1% | 70.5% |
| 2026-09-28T16:19:06+00:00 | 93.5% | 29.4% | 76.7% | 80.1% | 70.5% |
| 2026-09-28T17:04:13+00:00 | 93.5% | 29.4% | 72.4% | 80.1% | 64.0% |
| 2026-09-28T17:49:21+00:00 | 93.5% | 29.4% | 72.4% | 80.1% | 64.0% |
| 2026-09-28T18:34:27+00:00 | 93.5% | 29.4% | 72.4% | 80.1% | 64.0% |
| 2026-09-28T19:19:33+00:00 | 93.5% | 29.4% | 72.4% | 80.1% | 64.0% |
| 2026-09-28T20:04:42+00:00 | 94.6% | 29.4% | 72.4% | 78.8% | 64.0% |
| 2026-09-28T20:49:49+00:00 | 94.6% | 29.4% | 72.4% | 78.8% | 64.0% |
| 2026-09-28T21:34:53+00:00 | 94.6% | 29.4% | 72.4% | 78.8% | 64.0% |
| 2026-09-28T22:19:57+00:00 | 94.6% | 29.4% | 72.4% | 78.8% | 64.0% |
| 2026-09-28T23:05:03+00:00 | 94.6% | 29.4% | 71.5% | 78.8% | 64.0% |
| 2026-09-28T23:50:09+00:00 | 94.6% | 29.4% | 71.5% | 78.8% | 64.0% |
| 2026-09-29T00:35:16+00:00 | 94.6% | 29.4% | 71.5% | 78.8% | 64.0% |
| 2026-09-29T01:20:26+00:00 | 94.6% | 29.4% | 71.5% | 78.8% | 64.0% |
| 2026-09-29T02:05:35+00:00 | 94.6% | 29.4% | 71.5% | 78.8% | 64.0% |
| 2026-09-29T02:51:00+00:00 | 94.6% | 29.4% | 71.5% | 78.8% | 64.0% |
| 2026-09-29T03:36:05+00:00 | 94.6% | 29.4% | 71.5% | 78.8% | 64.0% |
| 2026-09-29T04:21:15+00:00 | 94.6% | 29.4% | 71.5% | 78.8% | 64.0% |
| 2026-09-29T05:06:52+00:00 | 94.6% | 29.4% | 83.5% | 78.8% | 20.6% |
| 2026-09-29T05:52:01+00:00 | 94.6% | 29.4% | 83.5% | 78.8% | 20.6% |
| 2026-09-29T06:37:08+00:00 | 94.6% | 29.4% | 83.5% | 78.8% | 20.6% |
| 2026-09-29T07:22:17+00:00 | 92.5% | 29.4% | 83.5% | 61.5% | 20.6% |
| 2026-09-29T08:08:11+00:00 | 92.5% | 29.4% | 83.5% | 61.5% | 20.6% |
| 2026-09-29T08:53:31+00:00 | 92.5% | 29.4% | 83.5% | 61.5% | 20.6% |
| 2026-09-29T09:38:36+00:00 | 92.5% | 29.4% | 83.5% | 61.5% | 20.6% |
| 2026-09-29T10:23:41+00:00 | 92.5% | 29.4% | 83.5% | 61.5% | 20.6% |
| 2026-09-29T11:08:47+00:00 | 92.5% | 18.5% | 83.5% | 61.5% | 20.6% |
| 2026-09-29T11:54:05+00:00 | 92.5% | 18.5% | 83.5% | 61.5% | 20.6% |
| 2026-09-29T12:39:10+00:00 | 92.5% | 18.5% | 83.5% | 61.5% | 20.6% |
| 2026-09-29T13:24:14+00:00 | 89.8% | 18.5% | 83.5% | 61.5% | 20.6% |
| 2026-09-29T14:11:38+00:00 | 89.4% | 18.5% | 83.5% | 61.5% | 20.5% |
| 2026-09-29T14:56:49+00:00 | 89.4% | 19.3% | 83.5% | 61.5% | 20.5% |
| 2026-09-29T15:42:11+00:00 | 89.4% | 19.3% | 83.5% | 61.5% | 20.5% |
| 2026-09-29T16:27:39+00:00 | 89.4% | 19.3% | 83.5% | 61.5% | 35.6% |
| 2026-09-29T17:12:49+00:00 | 89.4% | 19.3% | 80.1% | 61.5% | 35.6% |
| 2026-09-29T17:57:57+00:00 | 89.4% | 19.3% | 80.1% | 61.5% | 35.6% |
| 2026-09-29T18:43:04+00:00 | 89.4% | 19.3% | 80.1% | 61.5% | 35.6% |
| 2026-09-29T19:28:12+00:00 | 90.7% | 19.3% | 80.1% | 67.8% | 35.6% |
| 2026-09-29T20:13:30+00:00 | 90.7% | 19.3% | 80.1% | 67.8% | 35.6% |
| 2026-09-29T20:58:45+00:00 | 90.7% | 19.3% | 80.1% | 67.8% | 35.6% |
| 2026-09-29T21:43:53+00:00 | 90.7% | 19.3% | 80.1% | 67.8% | 35.6% |
| 2026-09-29T22:29:00+00:00 | 90.7% | 19.3% | 80.1% | 67.8% | 35.6% |
| 2026-09-29T23:14:09+00:00 | 90.7% | 19.3% | 79.3% | 67.8% | 35.6% |
| 2026-09-29T23:59:26+00:00 | 90.7% | 19.3% | 79.3% | 67.8% | 35.6% |
| 2026-09-30T00:44:31+00:00 | 90.7% | 19.3% | 79.3% | 67.8% | 35.6% |
| 2026-09-30T01:29:49+00:00 | 92.5% | 19.3% | 79.3% | 67.8% | 35.6% |
| 2026-09-30T02:14:57+00:00 | 92.5% | 19.3% | 79.3% | 67.8% | 35.6% |
| 2026-09-30T03:00:05+00:00 | 92.5% | 19.3% | 79.3% | 67.8% | 35.6% |
| 2026-09-30T03:45:20+00:00 | 92.5% | 19.3% | 79.3% | 67.8% | 35.6% |
| 2026-09-30T04:30:31+00:00 | 92.5% | 19.3% | 79.3% | 67.8% | 16.0% |
| 2026-09-30T05:16:18+00:00 | 92.5% | 19.3% | 87.0% | 67.8% | 16.0% |
| 2026-09-30T06:01:26+00:00 | 92.5% | 19.3% | 87.0% | 67.8% | 16.0% |
| 2026-09-30T06:46:34+00:00 | 92.5% | 19.3% | 87.0% | 67.8% | 16.0% |
| 2026-09-30T07:31:46+00:00 | 92.5% | 19.3% | 87.0% | 73.1% | 16.0% |
| 2026-09-30T08:18:09+00:00 | 92.5% | 19.3% | 87.0% | 73.1% | 16.0% |
| 2026-09-30T09:03:33+00:00 | 92.5% | 19.3% | 87.0% | 73.1% | 16.0% |
| 2026-09-30T09:48:39+00:00 | 92.5% | 19.3% | 87.0% | 73.1% | 16.0% |
| 2026-09-30T10:34:05+00:00 | 93.4% | 19.3% | 87.0% | 73.1% | 16.0% |
| 2026-09-30T11:19:56+00:00 | 93.4% | 36.9% | 89.5% | 73.1% | 16.0% |
| 2026-09-30T12:05:13+00:00 | 93.4% | 36.9% | 89.5% | 73.1% | 16.0% |
| 2026-09-30T12:50:18+00:00 | 93.4% | 36.9% | 89.5% | 73.1% | 16.0% |
| 2026-09-30T13:35:23+00:00 | 93.4% | 36.9% | 89.5% | 73.1% | 16.0% |
| 2026-09-30T14:23:07+00:00 | 93.4% | 36.9% | 89.4% | 73.1% | 15.9% |
| 2026-09-30T15:08:14+00:00 | 93.4% | 35.7% | 89.4% | 73.1% | 15.9% |
| 2026-09-30T15:53:23+00:00 | 93.4% | 35.7% | 89.4% | 73.1% | 15.9% |
| 2026-09-30T16:38:46+00:00 | 93.4% | 35.7% | 89.4% | 73.1% | 62.3% |
| 2026-09-30T17:23:55+00:00 | 93.4% | 35.7% | 82.4% | 73.1% | 62.3% |
| 2026-09-30T18:09:02+00:00 | 93.4% | 35.7% | 82.4% | 73.1% | 62.3% |
| 2026-09-30T18:54:12+00:00 | 93.4% | 35.7% | 82.4% | 73.1% | 62.3% |
| 2026-09-30T19:39:17+00:00 | 94.3% | 35.7% | 82.4% | 76.5% | 62.3% |
| 2026-09-30T20:24:31+00:00 | 94.3% | 35.7% | 82.4% | 76.5% | 62.3% |
| 2026-09-30T21:09:37+00:00 | 94.3% | 35.7% | 82.4% | 76.5% | 62.3% |
| 2026-09-30T21:54:43+00:00 | 94.3% | 35.7% | 82.4% | 76.5% | 62.3% |
| 2026-09-30T22:39:49+00:00 | 94.3% | 35.7% | 82.4% | 76.5% | 62.3% |
| 2026-09-30T23:24:54+00:00 | 94.3% | 35.7% | 84.6% | 76.5% | 62.3% |
| 2026-10-01T00:10:05+00:00 | 94.3% | 35.7% | 84.6% | 76.5% | 62.3% |
| 2026-10-01T00:55:49+00:00 | 94.3% | 35.7% | 84.6% | 76.5% | 62.3% |
| 2026-10-01T01:40:54+00:00 | 94.6% | 35.7% | 84.6% | 76.5% | 62.3% |
| 2026-10-01T02:26:02+00:00 | 94.6% | 35.7% | 84.6% | 76.5% | 62.3% |
| 2026-10-01T03:11:12+00:00 | 94.6% | 35.7% | 84.6% | 76.5% | 62.3% |
| 2026-10-01T03:57:02+00:00 | 94.6% | 35.7% | 84.6% | 76.5% | 62.3% |
| 2026-10-01T04:42:07+00:00 | 94.6% | 35.7% | 84.6% | 76.5% | 62.3% |
| 2026-10-01T05:27:13+00:00 | 94.6% | 35.7% | 85.9% | 76.5% | 62.3% |
| 2026-10-01T06:12:18+00:00 | 94.6% | 35.7% | 85.9% | 76.5% | 62.3% |
| 2026-10-01T06:57:23+00:00 | 94.6% | 35.7% | 85.9% | 76.5% | 62.3% |
Forecasts & evidence
| MODEL | YES | MEAN | SPREAD σ | INITIALIZATION UTC | BRIER ↓ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AIFS Single | 95% | 86.0°F | 4.0°F | 2026-09-30 18:00 | Pending |
| National Blend | 92% | 81.1°F | 1.1°F | 2026-10-01 00:00 | Pending |
| WeatherNext 2 | 86% | 83.2°F | 3.4°F | 2026-09-30 18:00 | Pending |
| IFS HRES | 76% | 82.2°F | 3.7°F | 2026-09-30 12:00 | Pending |
| ICON | 62% | 80.6°F | 3.5°F | 2026-09-30 12:00 | Pending |
| NWS forecast | 59% | 80.0°F | 2.2°F | 2026-10-01 02:00 | Pending |
| IFS Ensemble | 36% | 78.4°F | 3.0°F | 2026-09-30 00:00 | Pending |
Spread is the standard deviation used in the probability approximation. It is not a measured confidence rating. Brier here scores the latest recorded snapshot, not a league deadline.
High ≥ 80°F · KPIT
Daily temperature props settle on the ACIS official station record. Inclusive and strict thresholds retain their exact meanings. Provisional observations do not replace the settlement record.
WP-KPIT-20261001-TMAX-GE80
Opened Sep 24 · 07:27 UTC
Original listing: Pittsburgh runs hot-for-here: 80°F+ · Thu Oct 1
Original prop, full history & receipt ↗