— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
eps
97¢
wn2
94¢
aifs
65¢
ndfd
56¢
nbm
55¢
icon
53¢
hres
52¢
hrrr
42¢
rrfs
39¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
68–69°F2¢
70–71°F9¢
72–73°F21¢
74–75°F29¢
76–77°F23¢
78–79°F11¢
80–81°F3¢
calibration receipt: lead 1, scored on 13,573 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.555 vs climatology 9.053.
Receipts
prop id WP-KPIT-20261002-TMAX-GE73 · opened 2026-09-26T02:26:15+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape