— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
aifs
96¢
hres
87¢
wn2
85¢
eps
73¢
nbm
60¢
ndfd
54¢
icon
41¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
62–63°F2¢
64–65°F6¢
66–67°F14¢
68–69°F22¢
70–71°F23¢
72–73°F18¢
74–75°F9¢
76–77°F3¢
78–79°F1¢
calibration receipt: lead 3, scored on 13,425 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.945 vs climatology 9.066.
Receipts
prop id WP-KPIT-20261004-TMAX-GE66 · opened 2026-09-27T11:37:14+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape