— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
hres
18¢
wn2
16¢
icon
14¢
aifs
6¢
ndfd
1¢
nbm
0¢
eps
0¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
60–61°F1¢
62–63°F2¢
64–65°F7¢
66–67°F14¢
68–69°F21¢
70–71°F23¢
72–73°F17¢
74–75°F10¢
76–77°F4¢
78–79°F1¢
calibration receipt: lead 3, scored on 13,475 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.943 vs climatology 9.052.
Receipts
prop id WP-KPIT-20261004-TMAX-GE79 · opened 2026-09-27T16:55:37+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape