— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
wn2
47¢
aifs
36¢
rrfs
9¢
hres
6¢
ndfd
1¢
nbm
1¢
icon
1¢
eps
0¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
64–65°F2¢
66–67°F9¢
68–69°F25¢
70–71°F34¢
72–73°F22¢
74–75°F7¢
76–77°F1¢
calibration receipt: lead 1, scored on 13,887 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.524 vs climatology 8.977.
Receipts
prop id WP-KPIT-20261008-TMAX-GE79 · opened 2026-10-01T07:42:34+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape