— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
wn2
59¢
aifs
58¢
ndfd
56¢
rrfs
55¢
nbm
55¢
hres
36¢
eps
32¢
icon
9¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
66–67°F1¢
68–69°F3¢
70–71°F10¢
72–73°F21¢
74–75°F27¢
76–77°F22¢
78–79°F11¢
80–81°F4¢
82–83°F1¢
calibration receipt: lead 2, scored on 13,838 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.698 vs climatology 8.977.
Receipts
prop id WP-KPIT-20261010-TMAX-GE75 · opened 2026-10-07T04:19:55+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape