— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
wn2
99¢
aifs
98¢
hres
92¢
icon
76¢
eps
70¢
nbm
53¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
58–59°F1¢
60–61°F4¢
62–63°F11¢
64–65°F18¢
66–67°F23¢
68–69°F20¢
70–71°F13¢
72–73°F6¢
74–75°F2¢
calibration receipt: lead 3, scored on 13,789 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.906 vs climatology 8.976.
Receipts
prop id WP-KPIT-20261011-TMAX-GE70 · opened 2026-10-04T11:16:13+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape