— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
hres
68¢
ndfd
53¢
wn2
51¢
icon
48¢
nbm
47¢
eps
44¢
aifs
20¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
58–59°F1¢
60–61°F2¢
62–63°F6¢
64–65°F12¢
66–67°F18¢
68–69°F21¢
70–71°F18¢
72–73°F12¢
74–75°F6¢
76–77°F2¢
78–79°F1¢
calibration receipt: lead 4, scored on 13,740 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 2.158 vs climatology 8.977.
Receipts
prop id WP-KPIT-20261011-TMAX-GE73 · opened 2026-10-05T16:04:35+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape