— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
aifs
96¢
hres
91¢
eps
79¢
wn2
69¢
icon
58¢
nbm
53¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
64–65°F1¢
66–67°F2¢
68–69°F5¢
70–71°F10¢
72–73°F15¢
74–75°F18¢
76–77°F18¢
78–79°F14¢
80–81°F9¢
82–83°F5¢
84–85°F2¢
86–87°F1¢
calibration receipt: lead 5, scored on 13,741 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 2.466 vs climatology 8.965.
Receipts
prop id WP-KPIT-20261013-TMAX-GE70 · opened 2026-10-06T20:00:52+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape