— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
eps
78¢
nbm
52¢
wn2
33¢
icon
18¢
hres
9¢
aifs
1¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
56–57°F1¢
58–59°F2¢
60–61°F5¢
62–63°F8¢
64–65°F11¢
66–67°F14¢
68–69°F15¢
70–71°F14¢
72–73°F11¢
74–75°F8¢
76–77°F5¢
78–79°F2¢
80–81°F1¢
calibration receipt: lead 6, scored on 13,692 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 2.836 vs climatology 8.964.
Receipts
prop id WP-KPIT-20261014-TMAX-GE65 · opened 2026-10-07T07:23:08+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape