— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
wn2
100¢
hres
93¢
icon
84¢
aifs
76¢
eps
61¢
nbm
52¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
62–63°F1¢
64–65°F7¢
66–67°F19¢
68–69°F30¢
70–71°F26¢
72–73°F12¢
74–75°F3¢
calibration receipt: lead 1, scored on 14,251 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.518 vs climatology 8.884.
Receipts
prop id WP-KPIT-20261015-TMAX-GE64 · opened 2026-10-08T07:38:12+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape