— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
hres
100¢
rrfs
100¢
wn2
100¢
icon
97¢
aifs
96¢
eps
94¢
nbm
65¢
ndfd
56¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
66–67°F3¢
68–69°F14¢
70–71°F30¢
72–73°F32¢
74–75°F17¢
76–77°F4¢
78–79°F0¢
calibration receipt: lead 1, scored on 14,303 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.518 vs climatology 8.875.
Receipts
prop id WP-KPIT-20261016-TMAX-GE66 · opened 2026-10-10T04:16:37+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape