— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
wn2
98¢
hres
97¢
icon
95¢
rrfs
94¢
aifs
86¢
eps
86¢
ndfd
56¢
nbm
53¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
64–65°F1¢
66–67°F4¢
68–69°F12¢
70–71°F23¢
72–73°F28¢
74–75°F21¢
76–77°F10¢
78–79°F3¢
calibration receipt: lead 1, scored on 14,303 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.518 vs climatology 8.875.
Receipts
prop id WP-KPIT-20261016-TMAX-GE68 · opened 2026-10-13T04:15:16+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape