— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
wn2
74¢
nbm
53¢
eps
44¢
icon
44¢
hres
28¢
aifs
5¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
66–67°F3¢
68–69°F14¢
70–71°F30¢
72–73°F32¢
74–75°F17¢
76–77°F4¢
78–79°F0¢
calibration receipt: lead 1, scored on 14,303 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.518 vs climatology 8.875.
Receipts
prop id WP-KPIT-20261016-TMAX-GE69 · opened 2026-10-09T11:37:36+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape