— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
eps
90¢
wn2
75¢
hres
74¢
aifs
72¢
icon
57¢
ndfd
53¢
nbm
53¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
46–47°F2¢
48–49°F8¢
50–51°F22¢
52–53°F31¢
54–55°F24¢
56–57°F10¢
58–59°F2¢
calibration receipt: lead 1, scored on 14,303 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.518 vs climatology 8.875.
Receipts
prop id WP-KPIT-20261017-TMAX-GE53 · opened 2026-10-11T15:11:25+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape