— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
wn2
99¢
aifs
94¢
nbm
87¢
hres
86¢
rrfs
85¢
eps
84¢
icon
57¢
ndfd
56¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
52–53°F2¢
54–55°F6¢
56–57°F15¢
58–59°F24¢
60–61°F24¢
62–63°F17¢
64–65°F8¢
66–67°F2¢
calibration receipt: lead 3, scored on 14,205 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.906 vs climatology 8.875.
Receipts
prop id WP-KPIT-20261018-TMAX-GE57 · opened 2026-10-12T15:26:38+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape