daily prop · Raleigh, NC · Southeast · settles Thu Oct 1

Raleigh high ≥ 87°F · Thu Oct 1

YES

settled · observed 89

longshot hit on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 87°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Verdict

This prop traded as low as 0¢ and still hit.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

aifs		76¢
eps		73¢
hres		60¢
icon		56¢
ndfd		55¢
nbm		52¢
wn2		14¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KRDU-20261001-TMAX-GE87 · opened 2026-09-25T03:04:12+00:00 · settled 2026-10-02T13:58:35+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape