daily prop · Raleigh, NC · Southeast · settles Sun Oct 18

Raleigh high ≥ 64°F · Sun Oct 18

settled · observed 62

whiplash on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 64°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Verdict

This prop traded as high as 92¢ and busted; crossed 70¢ in both directions — a genuine whiplash.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

aifs		69¢
nbm		55¢
ndfd		55¢
eps		38¢
wn2		38¢
icon		36¢
hres		9¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KRDU-20261018-TMAX-GE64 · opened 2026-10-12T15:26:48+00:00 · settled 2026-10-19T13:41:49+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape