daily prop · Raleigh, NC · Southeast · settles Mon Oct 19

Raleigh high ≥ 66°F · Mon Oct 19

62¢

american -163 · decimal 1.61

on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 66°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

rrfs		88¢
aifs		82¢
nbm		75¢
wn2		73¢
eps		59¢
ndfd		59¢
hrrr		56¢
hres		44¢
icon		18¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

60–61°F0¢

62–63°F7¢

64–65°F33¢

66–67°F42¢

68–69°F16¢

70–71°F2¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KRDU-20261019-TMAX-GE66 · opened 2026-10-18T04:13:46+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape