daily prop · Raleigh, NC · Southeast · settles Tue Oct 20

Raleigh high ≥ 75°F · Tue Oct 20

40¢

american +152 · decimal 2.52

on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 75°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

aifs		78¢
rrfs		65¢
ndfd		59¢
wn2		50¢
nbm		41¢
hrrr		25¢
now		20¢
eps		18¢
hres		18¢
icon		14¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

68–69°F0¢

70–71°F11¢

72–73°F47¢

74–75°F36¢

76–77°F5¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KRDU-20261020-TMAX-GE75 · opened 2026-10-13T08:02:56+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape