daily prop · Raleigh, NC · Southeast · settles Tue Oct 20

Raleigh runs hot-for-here: 81°F+ · Tue Oct 20

2¢

american +5219 · decimal 53.19

on the tape

81°F is the top-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present). Hot means hot *for here*.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 81°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

aifs		28¢
icon		12¢
wn2		7¢
hres		4¢
ndfd		2¢
nbm		1¢
eps		0¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

68–69°F0¢

70–71°F11¢

72–73°F47¢

74–75°F36¢

76–77°F5¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KRDU-20261020-TMAX-GE81 · opened 2026-10-13T08:02:56+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape