daily prop · Richmond, VA · Northeast & Mid-Atlantic · settles Thu Oct 1

Richmond high ≥ 84°F · Thu Oct 1

YES

settled · observed 87

longshot hit whiplash on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 84°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Verdict

This prop traded as low as 0¢ and still hit; crossed 70¢ in both directions — a genuine whiplash.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

aifs		92¢
hres		78¢
eps		76¢
icon		69¢
wn2		61¢
nbm		56¢
ndfd		54¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KRIC-20261001-TMAX-GE84 · opened 2026-09-26T02:26:15+00:00 · settled 2026-10-02T13:58:38+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape