— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
aifs
78¢
wn2
76¢
icon
66¢
nbm
54¢
hres
48¢
eps
33¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
58–59°F1¢
60–61°F3¢
62–63°F7¢
64–65°F12¢
66–67°F18¢
68–69°F20¢
70–71°F17¢
72–73°F12¢
74–75°F6¢
76–77°F3¢
78–79°F1¢
calibration receipt: lead 5, scored on 14,315 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 2.48 vs climatology 8.854.
Receipts
prop id WP-KRIC-20261025-TMAX-GE67 · opened 2026-10-18T08:00:54+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape