daily prop · Richmond, VA · Northeast & Mid-Atlantic · settles Tue Oct 27

Richmond runs hot-for-here: 79°F+ · Tue Oct 27

9¢

american +1027 · decimal 11.27

on the tape

79°F is the top-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present). Hot means hot *for here*.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 79°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

aifs		49¢
wn2		25¢
hres		21¢
nbm		12¢
icon		9¢
eps		1¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

62–63°F1¢

64–65°F3¢

66–67°F7¢

68–69°F12¢

70–71°F16¢

72–73°F18¢

74–75°F17¢

76–77°F12¢

78–79°F8¢

80–81°F4¢

82–83°F1¢

calibration receipt: lead 7, scored on 8,387 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 2.601 vs climatology 8.75.

Receipts

prop id WP-KRIC-20261027-TMAX-GE79 · opened 2026-10-20T10:53:07+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape