daily prop · San Diego, CA · West Coast & Southwest · settles Mon Oct 19

San Diego runs hot-for-here: 83°F+ · Mon Oct 19

8¢

american +1082 · decimal 11.82

on the tape

83°F is the top-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present). Hot means hot *for here*.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 83°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

eps		42¢
rrfs		33¢
icon		29¢
aifs		23¢
hrrr		22¢
ndfd		13¢
nbm		9¢
hres		8¢
wn2		4¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

70–71°F1¢

72–73°F3¢

74–75°F7¢

76–77°F15¢

78–79°F22¢

80–81°F22¢

82–83°F17¢

84–85°F9¢

86–87°F3¢

88–89°F1¢

calibration receipt: lead 4, scored on 14,156 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 2.161 vs climatology 8.875.

Receipts

prop id WP-KSAN-20261019-TMAX-GE83 · opened 2026-10-12T07:49:11+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape