daily prop · San Antonio, TX · Plains & South Central · settles Wed Oct 21

San Antonio runs hot-for-here: 89°F+ · Wed Oct 21

4¢

american +2632 · decimal 27.32

on the tape

89°F is the top-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present). Hot means hot *for here*.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 89°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

rrfs		26¢
hres		19¢
aifs		17¢
icon		14¢
eps		7¢
ndfd		7¢
wn2		4¢
hrrr		4¢
nbm		2¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

78–79°F2¢

80–81°F10¢

82–83°F26¢

84–85°F32¢

86–87°F21¢

88–89°F7¢

90–91°F1¢

calibration receipt: lead 1, scored on 14,511 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.514 vs climatology 8.854.

Receipts

prop id WP-KSAT-20261021-TMAX-GE89 · opened 2026-10-14T10:34:14+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape