daily prop · Seattle, WA · West Coast & Southwest · settles Fri Oct 16

Seattle high ≥ 73°F · Fri Oct 16

YES

settled · observed 77

longshot hit on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 73°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Verdict

This prop traded as low as 0¢ and still hit.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

now		95¢
hrrr		90¢
rrfs		88¢
hres		87¢
wn2		80¢
eps		60¢
ndfd		59¢
nbm		44¢
aifs		41¢
icon		36¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KSEA-20261016-TMAX-GE73 · opened 2026-10-13T04:16:25+00:00 · settled 2026-10-17T13:53:28+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape