daily prop · San Francisco, CA · West Coast & Southwest · settles Sat Oct 17

San Francisco high ≥ 84°F · Sat Oct 17

settled · observed 83

on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 84°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

rrfs		98¢
ndfd		59¢
icon		58¢
hres		48¢
nbm		41¢
eps		17¢
aifs		0¢
wn2		0¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KSFO-20261017-TMAX-GE84 · opened 2026-10-15T15:34:42+00:00 · settled 2026-10-18T14:09:47+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape